For better or worse, maybe so.
Regarding the year that has now passed since Fidel Castro delegated executive authority, a few things stand out.
The rumors in late 2006 about Fidel being near death may have been true; in June he confirmed that he had “hovered between life and death.”
There has not been a single sign that the Cuban government’s control was diminished, much less at risk in any way – not at the moment of the July 31 announcement, not during the long absences and periods of uncertainty, not at any time in the year.
No disruptions: Cubans continued going to work, farmers continued delivering their produce to market, street demonstrations did not take place.
The number of political prisoners is down, but the human rights situation is fundamentally unchanged.
Nobody – not the opposition, not the
Come to think of it, was there a moment to seize?
Outsiders discussed, strategized and debated about transition and succession and pressure points and the right posture for the European Union to adopt toward
Right after the big announcement, the Bush Administration called for Cubans to effect change. Eleven months later, sights were lowered considerably. On
“No problem” is not exactly right.
Apart from Fidel’s absence, the biggest new political fact in
This has been a year without precedent. It has not been a year of crisis.
[News agency photos]